Fans of the Tyneside club are more and more viewing Eddie Howe's squad as an inconsistent friend. When everything clicks, they prove to be the very thrill-seekers, unleashing high-intensity displays. But, on other occasions, key figures like their midfield linchpin and his teammates simply go missing.
Compounding the frustration is a late-game approach laced with a worrying streak of panic. Before their trip to Old Trafford, the numbers paint a sobering story: the team has squandered thirteen precious Premier League points from leading situations this season and are without a clean sheet in ten consecutive games across all competitions. Earning victory at Old Trafford would represent only their second-ever league triumph on the travel this season.
On the flip side, defeat has only come on one occasion in their last 6 Premier League fixtures, and although sitting in a seemingly lowly 11th place, they remain a only 6 marks behind the coveted Champions League places. Consider an impending two-legged Carabao Cup last-four clash against Manchester City and a decent chance of advancing to the Champions League knockout phase, and it becomes simpler to understand the manager's cautious hope.
“Our issues aren't limited to difficulties,” said the team's boss. “There are strengths as well. The perspective here is firmly optimistic currently. I understand everybody else might have a different view, but my belief is we are getting better.”
The question remains: can this group match – or even surpass – the heights of the previous campaign's Wembley triumph and fifth-place finish? Managing a hectic schedule makes this difficult.
This fatigue could account for the inability to uphold a superb first-half showing versus their London rivals, ultimately letting slip a 2-0 advantage to draw 2-2. Similarly, it could be the culprit for a lackluster performance in a damaging defeat to arch-rivals the Black Cats, where the team appeared off the pace just a short time after a demanding European excursion.
Although on-field instruction is clearly Howe's forte, the relentless schedule of two games a week matches has radically limited crucial coaching hours. This slows the team's tactical evolution to playing with summer signing their number nine up front, instead of the departed their former star. Although extremely gifted, Woltemade has not shown the same blistering breakaway speed or ferocious defensive work rate.
Indeed, the side's signature high press has at times malfunctioned. Injuries to vital engine the Brazilian midfielder have exacerbated matters, while high-profile arrivals Anthony Elanga and Jacob Ramsey have found it tough settling after their combined £90m+ transfers.
While a move to a back three might theoretically help the cause, a worsening defensive injury crisis renders that unlikely. Key defenders will be missing for the next key fixtures, challenging the team's resources.
When playing at their high-tempo best, they appear virtually unstoppable. The catch is maintaining that level for the entire match. The typical plan B of sitting back into a deep-lying defensive shape has sometimes been counterproductive.
“The Chelsea match became anarchic at two-all,” conceded the coach. “However we were going for the victory. Our mentality is to always try to secure the three points.”
What seems required is a middle ground – with superior possession retention, a midfield capable of controlling the pace, and a realistic readiness to occasionally accept a point. Yet, a determination to challenge on every competitions is testing limited squad options to their breaking point.
This might sound sacrilegious to some, but a more selective approach in the cup competitions in the initial stages could have eased the present fixture pile-up. Amid critical European & league games on the horizon, the need to carefully choose focus areas is growing ever more apparent.
Eddie Howe acknowledged the scale of the journey remaining. “Being at this club, the pressures are enormous. Every moment's pivotal. There is progress to be made in the league. We're in the League Cup semi-finals, we want to go through in the Europe and do well in the FA Cup.
“We're moving in the correct path, but we have lots of work to do to transform into the consistently successful team we envision. The ability to string together sequences of victories has deserted us so far.
“The objective is to reach that standard we are aware we're capable of. I believe that the confidence to do that is growing. Yet nowadays we have to prove it. It ain't all bad in this moment, but the upcoming fixtures will determine a great deal.”
Elena Vance is a tech strategist with over a decade of experience in digital transformation and business analytics.